Use these insights from a Bank of America strategist to help determine if your retirement strategy is on the right track.
Retirement experts have offered plenty of rules of thumb about how much you need to save: somewhere near $1 million, 80% to 90% of your annual pre-retirement income, or 12 times your pre-retirement salary. But what’s right for you? And how do you know you’re on track?
“Because there are so many variables, even the retirement researchers can’t agree on a total dollar amount,” says Ben Storey, director of Retirement Research & Insights at Bank of America. “What each person needs will vary widely based on a number of factors.” These factors include your current age, and the age at which you plan to retire or could be forced to retire due to declining health, the loss of a job, or other circumstances beyond your control; how long you expect to live based on family history; how much you plan to spend in retirement, and what your sources of retirement income will be.
Some people also may be surprised by how their seemingly large nest egg translates into annual income, as the following chart shows.
Will your savings be enough for the retirement income you’ll need?
You may be surprised how much—or how little—even generously sized accounts could potentially provide over the course of a retirement. The examples below illustrate how much a 65-year-old might safely withdraw in the first year of retirement.
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Savings value at age 65 |
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Annual income from savings* |
$300,000 |
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$12,060/year |
$1,000,000 |
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$40,200/year |
$1,500,000 |
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$60,300/year |
* The accumulated investment saving by age 65 could provide an annual retirement income, adjusted for future inflation (in today’s dollars), of this amount for a life expectancy of 91 years, if withdrawn at a sustained spending rate of 4.02%.
Source: Bank of America Chief Investment Office, Portfolio Analytics, “Beyond the 4% rule: Determining sustainable retiree spending rates,” January 2021
Just how big your nest egg should be and how long it might last will depend not only on what you save and invest, but also on how you spend it once you do retire. That’s why taking a look at your personal version of retirement and what it might cost can give you a more realistic picture of what you’ll need. Here are some of the factors to consider as you determine what your unique savings goal should be.
Base your retirement savings estimate on what you expect to spend
“Having a percentage or dollar amount to give you a rough idea for planning can be helpful, but you can’t be focused solely on that,” Storey says. “Everybody’s lifestyle is different. What they want to do in their retirement years may be very different as well.”
Rather than rely on a general figure, Storey suggests trying to create a ballpark annual estimate based on what you live on now and what might change when you retire.
The following chart, based on data from the Employee Benefit Research Institute (EBRI),1 can give you a rough idea of how your expenses for housing,2 food, health, transportation, clothing and entertainment may change during retirement to help you decide how much income you might need. If you plan to travel or entertain more — or pursue an expensive hobby — you’ll want to think about adding in something for those more flexible, discretionary expenses, too. And keep in mind that you need to consider the potential impact of taxes on the retirement income when determining how much you will need.
How will you spend your retirement dollars?
Here’s how older Americans spend their money.
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Ages 50–64 |
Ages 65–74 |
Ages 75 and older |
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Housing |
45.9% |
44.9% |
45.6% |
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Food |
11.0% |
11.2% |
11.2% |
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Health Care |
7.8% |
9.6% |
10.6% |
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Clothing |
2.9% |
2.9% |
2.7% |
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Transportation |
13.9% |
12.0% |
9.7% |
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Entertainment |
10.2% |
10.5% |
8.3% |
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Other |
4.7% |
5.4% |
6.3% |
Source: Zahra Ebrahimi, “How Do Retirees’ Spending Patterns Change Over Time?” EBRI Issue Brief, no. 492 (Employee Benefit Research Institute, October 3, 2019).
Remember, although some costs — such as health care—may increase in retirement, there may be savings elsewhere. “Researchers have found that once people retire they spend more time shopping carefully and preparing meals at home, for example. Their cost of living for items such as these goes down,” says Storey.
Working in retirement:
Expectations vs. reality
If you’re planning to work in retirement so you can save less today, be realistic about your expectations. The annual Retirement Confidence Survey from the Employee Benefit Research Institute (EBRI)* has consistently found that American workers are far more likely to expect to work in retirement than actually end up doing so.
In EBRI’s latest report, 72% of workers planned to work in retirement, compared with just 30% of retirees who say they actually do work for pay today.
* Employee Benefit Research Institute, The 2021 Retirement Confidence Survey Summary Report, April 2021.
Keep in mind all of the income sources you’ll have to help cover your expenses
As you explore how much money you might really need in retirement, remember that the amount you decide to save and invest on your own is only one component of your future retirement income.
Most Americans will have Social Security as the backbone of their retirement savings. (Even if benefit payments are reduced in the future, Social Security is not likely to go away.) And don’t forget about other sources of income that may be available to you many years from now, including the money in your workplace and personal retirement accounts, pensions, annuities, proceeds from selling your home or business, rental income or an inheritance.
Two ways to check on your progress right now
Understanding your post-retirement expenses and income can help you estimate how much you may need to draw from your personal savings each year in retirement. However, it can be tough to turn that goal into a realistic amount to invest today and to know if you’re on track when your goal is decades away. Here are two ways you can check on your progress to see if any changes should be made.
1.
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For a quick check of how you’re doing today vs. similar savers:
The same way it can be helpful to see how your heart rate, blood pressure or weight compare to the “norm” when you get your annual physical, you now can assess how your retirement savings stack up against your peers by using the Net Wealth to Income Ratio developed by Merrill. |
How much should you be saving for retirement?
With findings based on Bank of America’s Financial Wellness Tracker - a proprietary assessment that calculates a financial wellness score based on where an employee is today (password required) - consider using the following savings multiples as guidance for replacing your income in retirement:
Source: Bank of America, “Financial Wellness: 2020 Retirement savings guidance,” 2020. Note: Calculations are based on obtaining 38% of income replacement from retirement savings (pre-tax) for middle income households of $40,000 to $100,000 annually.
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For example, if 39-year-old Jane, who earns $70,000 a year, wants to see how her savings measure up to the best savers in her age group, she would just multiply her current salary by 1.4 and compare that to her current savings. Thus, to keep up with the “best savers and investors” in her peer salary group, she would need to have saved $98,000 ($70,000 x 1.4) so far.3 |
2.
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To see where you are and what you can change to stay on track for the future:
The Personal Retirement Calculator lets you view a calculation of your potential retirement goal to see if there is a gap between what you’ll have and what you’ll need when you finally retire and helps you determine how you may consider adjusting your strategy accordingly. With the calculator, you can create different scenarios based on the information you enter, including:
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Your goal retirement age |
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Your estimated Social Security income |
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The number of years you plan to work part-time in retirement |
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The value of your other assets, including your mortgage |
You can see how potential adjustments to any of these factors can affect the size of your retirement savings in the future. |
“But even if these checkpoints show you’re behind where you might be, don’t get discouraged by the big numbers you may see,” advises Storey.
The difference 1% can make
A small change in savings could give you more after 30 years.
Source: Chief Investment Office, Foundation of Guidance — Capital Market Assumption and Strategic Asset Allocation, November 2021. This hypothetical example assumes a salary of $50,000, 5% and 6% contribution rates at the beginning of each year, and a 7.1% annual effective rate of return. Hypothetical results are for illustrative purposes only and are not meant to represent the past or future performance of any specific investment vehicle. Investment return and principal value will fluctuate and, when redeemed, the investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. Actual investing includes fees and other expenses that may result in lower returns than this hypothetical example. Taxes are due upon withdrawal. If you take a withdrawal prior to age 59½, you may also be subject to a 10% additional tax.
Whatever you save and invest today for the long-term can make a big difference in the future. “If you need to save more, even a 1% increase can mean a lot over time,” he says.
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